January 7, 2025 8:18am
The trend is NOT your friend; just wait a session and the direction will change from tailwinds to headwinds … or maybe NOT yet!
I recommend rebalancing and selling some of your winning stocks as market volatility awaits earnings results release
Pre-open Indications: 1 Sell into Strength, 2 Positive and 4 Negative Indications
Never leave an investor uninform
Remember that overnight and pre-open actions’ futures and markets doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in today’s market session.
My interpretation of the morning’s numbers is written to be informative; it’s built on what happened to make “it” happen today!
Monday’s night’s … RegMed Investors (RMi) Closing Bell: bubblicious? … https://www.regmedinvestors.com/articles/13756
Tuesday; the pre-open Dow futures are UP +0.17% or (+72 points), the S&P futures are UP +0.10% or (+6 points) and the Nasdaq futures are DOWN -0.03% or (-5 point)
- U.S. stock futures were mixed yet barely or could chang on Tuesday,
- European markets edged higher,
- Asia-Pacific markets rose with Japan in the lead
Henry’omics: We need to more than consider the economic environment to comprehend the micro re “our” universe of cell and gene therapy companies
Monday: The Dow closed DOWN -25.57 points or -0.06%, the S&P closed UP +32.91 points or +0.55% while the Nasdaq closed UP +243.30 points or +1.24%
- Monday’s advance/decline line ended with a positive close at the close of 22 incliner, 12 decliners and 1 flat
Economic Data Docket: U.S. trade deficit, ISM services and Job openings
Q1/25: January 2025 – 3nd positive sessions and 1 holiday
- Q4/24: December 1 holiday, 15 negative and 5 positive closes
- November 10 negative and 9 positive closes
- October: 8 positive and 15 negative closes
Companies in my headlights – It’s your decision; I provide ideas and context
I post about “indication intelligence” looking toward investment conferences … to assist investors with insight into sector vulnerabilities and strengths. A dictionary definition of “indicate” refers to something less than a certainty; an indication could be a signal of being oversold or overbought, a recommendation, or grounds for inferring or a basis for believing.
Sell into Strength Indications:
CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) closed up +$1.41 after Friday’s -$0.41 with a positive +$0.43 or +1.01% pre-open
Negative Indications:
BioLife Solutions (BLFS +$0.84 after Friday’s +$0,24 with a negative -$0.22 or -0.81% pre-open
bluebird bio (BLUE) closed up +$0.74 after Friday’s +$0.49 with a negative -$0.17 or -1.71% pre-open
Cellectis SA (CLLS) closed up +$0.45 after Friday’s +$0.135 with a negative -$0.01 or -0.36% pre-open
Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals (RARE +$1.16 after Friday’s +$0.35 with a negative -$0.38 or -0.89% pre-open
Positive Indications:
Beam Therapeutics (BEAM) closed up +$0.98 after Friday’s +$0.58 with a positive +0.71 or +2.69% pre-open
Moderna (MRNA) closed up +$0.39 with a positive +$1.56 or +2.03% pre-open
The BOTTOM LINE: What is the word for 2025, it continues to be – EXPECTATION.
- Expectations have evolved to caution, an updated recurring theme of 2025, and we may get our first taste of disappointment as data starts rolling in.
Earnings are a-comin’ … from Q4/24 are due … as downdrafts follow as proven in past sessions!
- Big Point to remember “Think about it; the biggest problem the cell and gene therapy sector has … 99% of them have no earnings! If rates are higher for longer, that means that sector companies will continue to struggle or be unable to raise capital and therefore be subject to debt servicing firms!” <Me>
The December jobs report is due out Friday, and will be one of the last key pieces of data before the Fed meeting at the end of this month. Investors are also watching the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Tuesday and December ADP Employment Survey Wednesday.
Some believe that "pragmatic optimism" will "set the tone for 2025. <ADAM Turnquist, LPL Financial chief technical strategist>
What could 2025 have in store for the capital access space as Partners are the gift of life!
- "You'll see a number of cell and gene therapy comandantes drive for secondaries – they’re desperate for cash, but I do think a lot of cell and gene therapy sector companies NEED to be focused on what is driving their own growth —they're focused on a lot of change BUT … that's happening in the market… capital expansion is second.
I seem to be asking a question followed by a question …
- Do we need to brace ourself for more economics and their down trending affect?
- Is this market STILL “bubblicious” my concerns are macroeconomic and valuation
Welcome to my world of defining the “grey’ in our universe!
- The sector is what it is, until it isn’t and even then, it doesn’t seem to be… as NOT much changes as the sector’s share pricing rides the waves of volatility, algorithms, electronic trading and short covering.
- I am more frequently right than consequentially wrong; if I wanted to be liked, I wouldn’t have been an analyst/journalist.
Opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change, and not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, nor investment advice. All investments are subject to risks. Investors should consider investment objectives.
Whether information or intelligence is good, bad or somewhere in between; I put into context what is relevant and useful for investors. All investments are subject to risks. Investors should consider investment objectives. Regulation Analyst Certification (Reg AC): The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this report certifies the following under Reg AC: I hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and it’s or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Henry McCusker, the editor and publisher of RegMed Investors could hold or have positions securities referred to in this publication and he will NOTIFY investors of holdings.
